Sunday

Economics of sex



Then....




Then....




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then


It's true: AIDS is nature's awful retribution for our tolerance of immoderate and socially irresponsible sexual behavior. The epidemic is the price of our permissive attitudes toward monogamy, chastity, and other forms of sexual conservatism.

You've read elsewhere about the sin of promiscuity. Let me tell you about the sin of self-restraint.
Suppose you walk into a bar and find four potential sex partners. Two are highly promiscuous; the others venture out only once a year. The promiscuous ones are, of course, more likely to be HIV-positive. That gives you a 50-50 chance of finding a relatively safe match.
But suppose all once-a-year revelers could be transformed into twice-a-year revelers. Then, on any given night, you'd run into twice as many of them. Those two promiscuous bar patrons would be outnumbered by four of their more cautious rivals. Your odds of a relatively safe match just went up from 50-50 to four out of six.

That's why increased activity by sexual conservatives can slow down the rate of infection and reduce the prevalence of AIDS. In fact, according to Professor Michael Kremer of MIT's economics department, the spread of AIDS in England could plausibly be retarded if everyone with fewer than about 2.25 partners per year were to take additional partners more frequently. That covers three-quarters of British heterosexuals between the ages of 18 and 45. (Much of this column is inspired by Professor Kremer's research.)

If multiple partnerships save lives, then monogamy can be deadly. Imagine a country where almost all women are monogamous, while all men demand two female partners per year. Under those conditions, a few prostitutes end up servicing all the men. Before long, the prostitutes are infected; they pass the disease to the men; and the men bring it home to their monogamous wives. But if each of those monogamous wives was willing to take on one extramarital partner, the market for prostitution would die out, and the virus, unable to spread fast enough to maintain itself, might die out along with it.

Or consider Joan, who attended a party where she ought to have met the charming and healthy Martin. Unfortunately Fate, through its agents at the Centers for Disease Control, intervened. The morning of the party, Martin ran across one of those CDC-sponsored subway ads touting the virtues of abstinence. Chastened, he decided to stay home. In Martin's absence, Joan hooked up with the equally charming but considerably less prudent Maxwell--and Joan got AIDS. Abstinence can be even deadlier than monogamy.

If those subway ads are more effective against the cautious Martins than against the reckless Maxwells, then they are a threat to the hapless Joans. This is especially so when they displace Calvin Klein ads, which might have put Martin in a more socially beneficent mood.
You might object that even if Martin had dallied with Joan, he would only have freed Maxwell to prey on another equally innocent victim. To this there are two replies. First, we don't know that Maxwell would have found another partner: Without Joan, he might have struck out that night. Second, reducing the rate of HIV transmission is in any event not the only social goal worth pursuing: If it were, we'd outlaw sex entirely. What we really want is to minimize the number of infections resulting from any given number of sexual encounters; the flip side of this observation is that it is desirable to maximize the number of (consensual) sexual encounters leading up to any given number of infections. Even if Martin had failed to deny Maxwell a conquest that evening, and thus failed to slow the epidemic, he could at least have made someone happy.

To an economist, it's clear why people with limited sexual pasts choose to supply too little sex in the present: Their services are underpriced. If sexual conservatives could effectively advertise their histories, HIV-conscious suitors would compete to lavish them with attention. But that doesn't happen, because such conservatives are hard to identify. Insufficiently rewarded for relaxing their standards, they relax their standards insufficiently.


So a socially valuable service is under-rewarded and therefore under-supplied. This is a problem we've experienced before. We face it whenever a producer fails to safeguard the environment.
Extrapolating from their usual response to environmental issues, I assume that liberals will want to attack the problem of excessive sexual restraint through coercive regulation. As a devotee of the price system, I'd prefer to encourage good behavior through an appropriate system of subsidies.
The question is: How do we subsidize Martin's sexual awakening without simultaneously subsidizing Maxwell's ongoing predations? Just paying people to have sex won't work--not with Maxwell around to reap the bulk of the rewards. The key is to subsidize something that is used in conjunction with sex and that Martin values more than Maxwell.
Quite plausibly, that something is condoms. Maxwell knows that he is more likely than Martin to be infected already, and hence probably values condoms less than Martin does. Subsidized condoms could be just the ticket for luring Martin out of his shell without stirring Maxwell to a new frenzy of activity.
As it happens, there is another reason to subsidize condoms: Condom use itself is under-rewarded. When you use one, you are protecting both yourself and your future partners, but you are rewarded (with a lower chance of infection) only for protecting yourself. Your future partners don't know about your past condom use and therefore can't reward it with extravagant courtship. That means you fail to capture the benefits you're conferring, and as a result, condoms are underused.
It is often argued that subsidized (or free) condoms have an upside and a downside: The upside is that they reduce the risk from a given encounter, and the downside is that they encourage more encounters. But it's plausible that in reality, that's not an upside and a downside--it's two upsides. Without the subsidies, people don't use enough condoms, and the sort of people who most value condoms don't have enough sex partners.
All these problems--along with the case for subsidies--would vanish if our sexual pasts could somehow be made visible, so that future partners could reward past prudence and thereby provide appropriate incentives. Perhaps technology can ultimately make that solution feasible. (I envision the pornography of the future: "Her skirt slid to the floor and his gaze came to rest on her thigh, where the imbedded monitor read, 'This site has been accessed 314 times.' ") But until then, the best we can do is to make condoms inexpensive--and get rid of those subway ads.

Friday

Using the news

Read- High tax rate harms UK economy :

Good for....:

a. incentives to work

b. brain drain

c. Laffer curve

d. elasticities

e. labour mobility

f. tax evasion vs tax avoidance

Read: Greece to speed up cost cutting

Good for discussing:

a. fiscal austerity

b. Eurozone debt crisis

Read- UK international competitives falls

Good for discussing factors that affect international competitiveness on the A2 course

Read- Childcare costs in UK soar :

Good for ideas on:

a. child poverty

b. labour market immobility

c. supply side policies

Read; - Why is US debt so high? (1) ; (2)

Read- Swiss franc intervention

Good for:

a. Currency wars for 2011-2012 have started early this academic year - protectionism

b. beggar thy neighbour policies

Thursday

LSE Lectures

LSE Lectures - visit here for videos

Look for the December lecture by Raj Patel.

two reasons:

a. it's a clear and well thought through lecture

b. Because of this.....

Wednesday

How the Conservatives can help you pass your A level

From The Conservatives' website:

"At the end of the Parliament, you will be able to use these benchmarks to hold your government to account over whether our economy is more stable, more balanced and more competitive.

We've set them out in detail on our website so you can see exactly what we're proposing. Then, as you have already done with David on our NHS and education policies, you can ask me any question about our plans for economic growth.

You can also vote on any of the questions that have been submitted, so that next week I'll be able to answer the most popular questions in a live webcast."


So, ask George ANY QUESTION about their plans for economic growth....of course you may not get an answer....unless people vote.



Sunday

The Demand Curve


Is it true or false to say that Demand 2 is elastic and Demand 1 is inelastic?







It is false - but why?

The Supply Curve


On the left we see a supply curve.

As you can see, the supply curve goes up from left to right.

OK so far?



But.....

As the price rises, there will come a time when a lot of firms join the industry. Surely then the supply curve would flatten out?

Also, as production incrases, firms will get economies of scale - so surely the supply curve will shift to the right?

Thoughts...

Saturday

CET/Free trade

Round Europe there is a Common External Tariff.

Therefore tariffs are OK to protect farmers, yes?

But, hang on, tariffs against EU farmers restrict free trade and therefore are against the greater good...aren't they?

So how can tariffs be good and bad?

Visitors

I see Teachers and students have been visiting here - and yet not commenting. Surely the 35+ posts here cannot all be true - because if they are then much of the Economics that is taught in schools is false!

Sunday

The Bank of England should seek to deliberately increase inflation!

The reasoning behind this would be to ensure that there were negative real interest rates.

If the Bank of England commits itself to producing significant inflation then real interest rates could become negative.

Thus people might borrow money (at 0% interest) and repay in their (devalued) pounds.

This would give people a significant incentive to borrow and spend.

A little more inflation might be preferable to rising unemployment or a series of fiscal measures that pile on debt bequeathed to future generations.

The idea of negative interest rates may strike some people as absurd, the concoction of some impractical theorist. Perhaps it is. But remember this: Early mathematicians thought that the idea of negative numbers was absurd. Today, these numbers are commonplace. Even children can be taught that some problems (such as 2x + 6 = 0) have no solution unless you are ready to invoke negative numbers.

Specific tax

Tobacco

From 6.00 pm on 22nd April 2009, tobacco duty will increase by 2 per cent. The rates will be:

Product

Duty

Effect of tax* on typical item (increase in pence)

Typical unit

Cigarettes

24 per cent of the retail price plus £114.31 per thousand cigarettes

7p

packet of 20

Cigars

£173.13 per kilogram

3p

packet of 5

Hand-rolling tobacco

£124.45 per kilogram

7p

25g

Other smoking tobacco and chewing tobacco

£76.12 per kilogram

4p

25g of pipe tobacco


* Tax refers to duty, plus VAT

This increases tobacco duty in line with inflation.

Here's a diagram showing tobacco tax.

The problem is that the cigarettes in my local tobacconist went up by the 7p i.e. the full amount of tax. This means the price rose by ALL the tax.

Does this mean that the demand is perfectly inelastic?


I think not.


Try drawing the diagram with the price rising by 7p i.e. the full amount of tax.

Then consider beer.

From Thursday 23 April 2009, alcohol duty rates will increase by 2 per cent above the rate of inflation.

Alcohol duties will increase by 2 per cent above the rate of inflation in each of the next four years.

Product

Effect of tax* on typical item
(increase in pence)

Typical unit

Beer (4.2% abv)

1p

pint of beer

Wine

4p

75cl bottle

Sparkling wine

5p

75cl bottle

Spirits (37.5% abv)

13p

70cl bottle

Spirits-based ready to drink

1p

275ml bottle

Cider and perry

1p

litre


* Tax refers to duty, plus VAT

Beer in my local went up by 1p - but demand is not perfectly inelastic.

So - what's happened?

Is the tax diagram rubbish?


Price mechanism


This is the price mechanism. As you can see, where demand = supply, we have price.
Nice and clear.
Price = where demand = supply.



This monopoly.

Where's the supply curve?

Price is at Pm - but there's no supply....

Monday

Public goods (You plan to study Economics at University?)

Imagine a listener supported radio station.

The station should be able to raise approximately the same amount of money if it had 5 listeners or 50,000.

5 listeners will not support a station i.e. they will not give enough.

Therefore sucha radio station cannot exist.

But it does.

Nonsense?

Have a read of this - and enjoy the Maths.

Perfect competition

In perfect competition all the goods cost nothing to produce.

If they cost anything at all then that would be a barrier to entry!

Therefore as they cost nothing to produce all a firm has to do is produce (with no resources) an infinite number of goods and thus make an infinite profit.

Easy!

...or is it?

Comparative advantage

If you have two countries, two commodities etc....

If a country has absolute advantage in both products which one do you specialise in?

Obviously the one where the gap between the maximum output of Country A and Country B is the greatest! If you draw it with two straight lines it's where there's the greatest distance.

That's what the IB Economics book says - so it must be right...mustn't it...?

Friday

Income elasticity of demand

Let's take an inferior good.

This will have begative income elasticity of demand.

Thus as income falls, demand rises.

Equally as income rises, demand falls.

OK....

If the price of the inferior good rises then real income falls.

Thus as per above, more is demanded.

So, the price of inferior godos rises and so does demand. So all retailers who sell cheap and tacky goods have to do is...raise the price!

Yeah?

Now let's deal with some of the comments:

If the price for inferior good rises the difference between inferior good and normal good will get less and because of that more people will switch to the normal good.

Yes but not everyone. I am referring to the people that do NOT switch!

In addition to that if the price of an inferior good rises it doesn't mean that the real income of all people becomes less. It will become less only for those who buy only that good.

I am referring to the people who buy the good. So, do you agree that to make more profit all the retailer has to do is raise the price?

Hai Long said...

I think the answer could be :

If the real income falls because of people spent more on inferior goods, therefore the inferior goods wont be demanded more because they bought inferior goods already.


But if the good is a consumer non-durable then there may be regular puchases

Rise in price of inferior goods will depend on how much demand response to the change in prise, it does not depend on the YED.

The rise in price depends on the reaction of demand?????
Mr.Lex said...

"If the price of the inferior good rises then real income falls.

Thus as per above, more is demanded."
Not agree,about inferior goods,we're not considering about the price

So if price goes up - no problem?

Income and demand

Let's take a normal demand curve.

Income increases so the demand curve shifts to the right.

Now let's talk about elasticity.

One of the factors that affects elasticity is...income.

Therefore if income rises the SLOPE (gradient) of the demand curve changes...to the right.

Yeah?

Thursday

Recessions

OK, let's work through this. At the end you'll realise that in fact recessions don't exist.

When there is an economic expansion, demand seems to outpace supply, particularly for goods and services that take time and major capital to increase supply.

As a result, prices generally rise (or there is at least price pressure) and particularly for goods and services that cannot rapidly meet the increased demand such as housing in urban centers (relatively fixed supply), advanced education (takes time to expand/build new schools), but not cars because automotive plants can gear up pretty quickly.

Second, when there is an economic contraction, supply initially outpaces demand. However prices for most goods and services don't go down, and neither do wages.

Of course wages per se don't go down (but employers lay off workers so wage costs fall.)

Given that a recession is two quarters of negative growth we can see that if a shift of AD to the right is growth (actual) then negative growth is a shift to the left.

And yet prices of most goods and services do not fall.

Thus recessions don't exist!